Trump will claim credit for progress in Iran talks despite return to ‘status quo’, analyst says

The Trump administration is likely to portray the memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Iran, and the latest progress in negotiations in Switzerland, as a major diplomatic success, academic Paul Musgrave said.

“The Trump administration is going to look at every clause in this agreement and the agreement itself, and say that this is due to the negotiating prowess of President Trump and now Vice President Vance,” the associate professor of government at Georgetown University in Qatar told Al Jazeera.

However, he argued that an outside observer would see the deal differently.

“In many ways, this is a return to the status quo, except that Iran now has substantial leverage,” he said, noting that key elements such as inspections and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz existed before the war.

Musgrave added that Washington may highlight increased regional support for the MOU and the economic benefits of easing sanctions on Iranian oil exports.

“Allowing Iranian oil onto world markets is going to help American consumers,” he said, though he cautioned that many Americans may view the policy as “at best, a mixed blessing”.

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